{"id":43042,"date":"2025-11-08T13:42:09","date_gmt":"2025-11-08T12:42:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.amec.es\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/perspectives-dels-mercats-de-materies-primeres-2025-2026\/"},"modified":"2025-11-08T13:43:37","modified_gmt":"2025-11-08T12:43:37","slug":"perspectives-dels-mercats-de-materies-primeres-2025-2026","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/perspectives-dels-mercats-de-materies-primeres-2025-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectives dels mercats de mat\u00e8ries primeres 2025-2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"43042\" class=\"elementor elementor-43042 elementor-43036\" data-elementor-post-type=\"page\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-920481b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"920481b\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;gradient&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-20e7924c\" data-id=\"20e7924c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-551db4e0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"551db4e0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/category\/alertes-i-tendencies-exclusives\/\" rel=\"tag\">Alertes i tend\u00e8ncies exclusives<\/a><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-620e4e68 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"620e4e68\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6b8cbe9b elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"6b8cbe9b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-55552ca elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"55552ca\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-306952dd\" data-id=\"306952dd\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-59bc3e34 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"59bc3e34\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Perspectives dels mercats de mat\u00e8ries primeres 2025-2026<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6ffb43dd elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"6ffb43dd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3270971c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3270971c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t8 de novembre de 2025\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7e0e58d7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7e0e58d7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>El Banc Mundial preveu una caiguda del 7% en els preus de les primeres mat\u00e8ries tant el 2025 com el 2026. La feble activitat econ\u00f2mica global, l&#8217;exc\u00e9s d&#8217;oferta de petroli i les tensions comercials expliquen aquesta tend\u00e8ncia. <\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-383b4866 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"383b4866\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-619aa724 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"619aa724\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>A continuaci\u00f3, us presentem una selecci\u00f3 de les conclusions m\u00e9s destacades de l&#8217;informe &#8220;Commodity Markets Outlook&#8221; d&#8217;octubre de 2025 del Banc Mundial.<\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> PREVISIONS GLOBALS<\/strong><\/h5><p>L&#8217;\u00edndex general de commodities caur\u00e0 un <strong>7,4% el 2025<\/strong> i un altre <strong>6,8% el 2026<\/strong> , despr\u00e9s d&#8217;haver assolit el seu bec el 2022. No obstant aix\u00f2, els preus es mantindran un 14% per sobre dels nivells prepand\u00e8mia del 2019. <\/p><p>La caiguda est\u00e0 liderada per l&#8217; <strong>energia<\/strong> (-12,4% el 2025 i -10,2% el 2026), mentre que els productes <strong>no energ\u00e8tics<\/strong> mostraran canvis m\u00e9s modestos (+1,8% el 2025 i -1,6% el 2026).<\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> FACTORS EXPLICATIUS DE LES PREVISIONS A LA BAIXA<\/strong><\/h5><ul><li><strong>Activitat econ\u00f2mica feble:<\/strong> El creixement global es mant\u00e9 per sota del seu potencial, especialment a la Xina.<\/li><li><strong>Tensions comercials:<\/strong> Els aranzels nord-americans del 50% sobre productes de coure semielaborats i les restriccions comercials sobre soja estan alterant els fluxos comercials globals.<\/li><li><strong>Incertesa pol\u00edtica:<\/strong> L&#8217;elevada incertesa en pol\u00edtica econ\u00f2mica cont\u00e9 la inversi\u00f3 i el consum de b\u00e9ns duradors.<\/li><li><strong>Depreciaci\u00f3 del d\u00f2lar:<\/strong> Sense aquest factor, la caiguda de preus en d\u00f2lars hauria estat encara m\u00e9s gran.<\/li><\/ul><ul><li><strong>Exc\u00e9s doferta estructural de petroli.<\/strong>  L&#8217;oferta global supera la demanda en nivells no vists des del 2020.<\/li><li><strong>Desacceleraci\u00f3 del sector immobiliari xin\u00e8s<\/strong> , que pesa sobre la demanda, encara que les inversions en energies renovables i vehicles el\u00e8ctrics proporcionen suport parcial.<\/li><li><strong>Condicions d&#8217;oferta abundants per a cultius agr\u00edcoles clau<\/strong> , amb inventaris globals amplis.<\/li><\/ul><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> PRODUCTES AGR\u00cdCOLES I ALIMENTS<\/strong><\/h5><p>L&#8217;\u00edndex agr\u00edcola es mantindr\u00e0 pr\u00e0cticament <strong>estable el 2025<\/strong> (+0,2%) i caur\u00e0 lleugerament el <strong>2026<\/strong> (-2,2%).<\/p><p><strong>Aliments:<\/strong> Descens del 6,1% el 2025, amb estabilitat el 2026 (-0,3%). Els tres subcomponents mostraran rangs estrets: <\/p><ul><li><strong>Grans:<\/strong> Forta caiguda del 10,8% el 2025 per oferta abundant (especialment arr\u00f2s, blat i blat de moro), estabilitzaci\u00f3 el 2026.<\/li><li><strong>Olis i farines:<\/strong> Descens del 3% el 2025, pr\u00e0cticament plans el 2026.<\/li><\/ul><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Begudes:<\/strong> Despr\u00e9s del fort repunt del 17,8% el 2025 (impulsat per problemes clim\u00e0tics en <strong>caf\u00e8 i cacau<\/strong> ), es preveu una correcci\u00f3 del 7,2% el 2026 conforme millorin les condicions de subministrament.<\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> METALLS I MINERALS (BASE)<\/strong><\/h5><p>L&#8217;\u00edndex de metalls base pujar\u00e0 un <strong>4,9% el 2025<\/strong> i tot just un <strong>0,9% el 2026<\/strong> , reflectint forces contraposades:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Coure:<\/strong> Arribar\u00e0 a m\u00e0xims hist\u00f2rics nominals el 2026. Els enviaments anticipats als Estats Units abans dels aranzels d&#8217;agost van elevar inventaris i la demanda per a transici\u00f3 energ\u00e8tica sost\u00e9 els preus. <\/li><li><strong>Alumini:<\/strong> increment moderat, impulsat per restriccions de la UE sobre alumini rus i demanda d&#8217;infraestructures.<\/li><li><strong>Estany:<\/strong> Seguir\u00e0 en m\u00e0xims hist\u00f2rics pel seu rol cr\u00edtic en tecnologies netes i restriccions d&#8217;exportaci\u00f3 de Myanmar.<\/li><li><strong>Mineral de ferro:<\/strong> \u00danica excepci\u00f3 amb caigudes a causa de la crisi perllongada del sector immobiliari xin\u00e8s.<\/li><\/ul><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Factors del mercat de metalls<\/strong><\/p><ul><li><strong>Demanda de transici\u00f3 energ\u00e8tica:<\/strong> Les inversions en renovables, vehicles el\u00e8ctrics i infraestructura el\u00e8ctrica sostenen els preus.<\/li><li><strong>Restriccions comercials:<\/strong> Els aranzels nord-americans i les prohibicions d&#8217;exportaci\u00f3 (Indon\u00e8sia sobre coure i n\u00edquel) estan fragmentant mercats.<\/li><li><strong>Activitat industrial feble:<\/strong> La incertesa pol\u00edtica global continua frenant la inversi\u00f3 en equipament i construcci\u00f3.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-4338f58d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"4338f58d\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3b76ab88\" data-id=\"3b76ab88\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-13b1b93c elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"13b1b93c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2ebade21 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"2ebade21\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Recursos<\/h5>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-536a883e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"536a883e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>World Bank Group. (2025). <em>Commodity Markets Outlook: October 2025<\/em> . <a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/en\/research\/commodity-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/en\/research\/commodity-markets<\/a> <\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1c93b416 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"1c93b416\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Banc Mundial preveu una caiguda del 7% en els preus de les primeres mat\u00e8ries tant el 2025 com el 2026. La feble activitat econ\u00f2mica global, l&#8217;exc\u00e9s d&#8217;oferta de petroli i les tensions comercials expliquen aquesta tend\u00e8ncia. A continuaci\u00f3, us presentem una selecci\u00f3 de les conclusions m\u00e9s destacades de l&#8217;informe &#8220;Commodity Markets Outlook&#8221; d&#8217;octubre de [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"parent":5934,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_canvas","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[219],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43042","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","category-alertes-i-tendencies-exclusives"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Perspectives dels mercats de mat\u00e8ries primeres 2025-2026 | amec Positive Industry<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/perspectives-dels-mercats-de-materies-primeres-2025-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectives dels mercats de mat\u00e8ries primeres 2025-2026 | amec Positive Industry\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El Banc Mundial preveu una caiguda del 7% en els preus de les primeres mat\u00e8ries tant el 2025 com el 2026. 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