{"id":43465,"date":"2025-11-13T11:38:22","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T10:38:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/amec.es\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/perspectives-economiques-i-comercials-globals-novembre-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-11-13T11:48:25","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T10:48:25","slug":"perspectives-economiques-i-comercials-globals-novembre-2025","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/perspectives-economiques-i-comercials-globals-novembre-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectives econ\u00f2miques i comercials globals (novembre 2025)"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"43465\" class=\"elementor elementor-43465 elementor-43448\" data-elementor-post-type=\"page\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6ac43f66 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"6ac43f66\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;gradient&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6ec9cde9\" data-id=\"6ec9cde9\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2c73ea elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"2c73ea\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/category\/alertes-i-tendencies-exclusives\/\" rel=\"tag\">Alertes i tend\u00e8ncies exclusives<\/a><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-63ecdae6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"63ecdae6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-27f1d351 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"27f1d351\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5fcf89c0 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5fcf89c0\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-2b21d5a2\" data-id=\"2b21d5a2\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-31c626be elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"31c626be\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Perspectives econ\u00f2miques i comercials globals (novembre 2025)<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4c21c27e elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"4c21c27e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-48360e71 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"48360e71\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t13 de novembre de 2025\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-64cc061f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"64cc061f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong><span class=\"TextRun SCXW267080684 BCX0\" lang=\"ES-ES\" xml:lang=\"ES-ES\" data-contrast=\"auto\"><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW267080684 BCX0\">La caiguda general de preus de commodities<\/span> <span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW267080684 BCX0\">alleuja els costos industrials<\/span> <span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW267080684 BCX0\">, per\u00f2 reflecteix<\/span> <span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW267080684 BCX0\">una demanda global m\u00e9s feble<\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW267080684 BCX0\">. Al mateix temps,  <\/span><span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW267080684 BCX0\">la inversi\u00f3 en tecnologies estrat\u00e8giques<\/span> <span class=\"NormalTextRun SCXW267080684 BCX0\">est\u00e0 reconfigurant els fluxos de comer\u00e7 i les cadenes de valor, marcant un canvi estructural a l&#8217;economia mundial.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"EOP SCXW267080684 BCX0\" data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-56bc565 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"56bc565\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-08e20d2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"08e20d2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h5 aria-level=\"3\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\">Evoluci\u00f3 general: creixement estable, per\u00f2 sense impuls<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"134245418\":true,\"134245529\":true,\"335559738\":281,\"335559739\":281}\"> <\/span><\/h5><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Els principals organismes internacionals mantenen les seves<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">previsions de creixement global per al 2025 al voltant del 3%<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, amb una<\/span> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">lleugera desacceleraci\u00f3 prevista per al 2026<\/span> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">(2,9% segons l&#8217;OCDE i 2,4% segons The Economist Intelligence Unit).<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">L&#8217;activitat manufacturera global millora de manera modesta. El   <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">PMI manufacturer mundial<\/span><\/b> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">ha assolit el seu nivell m\u00e9s alt en m\u00e9s de tres anys<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, impulsat per noves comandes i pel dinamisme de<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">l&#8217;\u00cdndia, Tail\u00e0ndia i el Vietnam<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, que continuen liderant l&#8217;expansi\u00f3 industrial a \u00c0sia.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">En canvi, la<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">zona euro<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  segueix sense un impuls clar. La producci\u00f3 industrial mostra   <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">signes d&#8217;estabilitzaci\u00f3<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, per\u00f2 la<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">debilitat del mercat franc\u00e8s<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  podria frenar la demanda als seus principals socis. A  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Espanya<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, l&#8217;economia mant\u00e9 un<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">creixement sostingut<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">gr\u00e0cies a la demanda interna.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><h5 aria-level=\"3\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Comer\u00e7 mundial: diverg\u00e8ncia entre valor i volum<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"134245418\":true,\"134245529\":true,\"335559738\":281,\"335559739\":281}\"> <\/span><\/h5><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Segons la<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">UNCTAD<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, el<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">valor total del comer\u00e7 mundial<\/span><\/b> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">va cr\u00e9ixer<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">el<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">2,5% intertrimestral el tercer trimestre del 2025<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">i arribar\u00e0 a un<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">creixement anual proper al 5%.<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\"> <\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Aix\u00f2 no obstant,<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">aquest aven\u00e7 reflecteix sobretot l&#8217;augment dels preus dels b\u00e9ns.<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. La  <\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">OMC,<\/span> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">en la seva actualitzaci\u00f3 d&#8217;octubre, preveu que<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">el comer\u00e7 mundial de mercaderies creixer\u00e0 un 2,4% en volum el 2025<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">i nom\u00e9s<\/span> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">un 0,5% el 2026, a mesura que es normalitzin els efectes de l&#8217;acumulaci\u00f3 d&#8217;inventaris anticipats davant els nous aranzels nord-americans.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Aquest creixement est\u00e0 sent impulsat pels<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">b\u00e9ns relacionats amb la intel\u00b7lig\u00e8ncia artificial<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Encara que representen tot just el  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">15% del comer\u00e7 mundial<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, van explicar el<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">43% del creixement del primer semestre de 2025<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Aquesta reconfiguraci\u00f3 evidencia un canvi profund en els patrons comercials, cada cop m\u00e9s lligats a<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">tecnologies estrat\u00e8giques<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">i menys als<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">costos laborals o la proximitat geogr\u00e0fica<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><h5 aria-level=\"3\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> La paradoxa global de la inversi\u00f3: menys projectes, m\u00e9s capital<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"134245418\":true,\"134245529\":true,\"335559738\":281,\"335559739\":281}\"> <\/span><\/h5><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">El darrer informe de la<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">UNCTAD sobre inversi\u00f3 global<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  mostra un escenari contradictori. Mentre que la   <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">inversi\u00f3 estrangera directa va caure 3% interanual<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">el primer semestre de 2025,<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">el valor total de les noves inversions va cr\u00e9ixer 7%<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, impulsat per<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">megaprojectes en semiconductors, centres de dades i tecnologies d&#8217;IA<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span> <span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Estats Units<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  destaca com a principal destinaci\u00f3 inversora (+5% a IED), amb m\u00e9s de la meitat del capital concentrat a IA. A  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Europa<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, la inversi\u00f3 va caure 25% en nombre de projectes, per\u00f2 el seu valor total va augmentar 48%, amb Fran\u00e7a com a principal benefici\u00e0ria. A  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">\u00c0sia<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, la IED va pujar 7%, per\u00f2 el valor dels projectes industrials va retrocedir 37%.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">El resultat \u00e9s una<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">concentraci\u00f3 del capital global en sectors tecnol\u00f2gics<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">d&#8217;alta rendibilitat, mentre que els sectors manufacturers tradicionals perden tracci\u00f3.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><h5 aria-level=\"3\"><b><span data-contrast=\"none\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Mat\u00e8ries primeres: preus a la baixa i volatilitat estructural<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"134245418\":true,\"134245529\":true,\"335559738\":281,\"335559739\":281}\"> <\/span><\/h5><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Tant el  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Banc Mundial<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  (<\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Commodity Markets Outlook, octubre 2025<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">) com  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">McKinsey<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  (<\/span><i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Global Materials Perspective 2025<\/span><\/i><span data-contrast=\"auto\">) coincideixen que els preus de les mat\u00e8ries primeres travessen una  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">fase de correcci\u00f3 c\u00edclica<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">, amb una caiguda prevista del  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">7% el 2025<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  i del  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">6,8% el 2026<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Segons el Banc Mundial, la reculada s&#8217;explica principalment per la<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">feble activitat econ\u00f2mica global<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">(en particular a la Xina) i per l&#8217;<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">exc\u00e9s d&#8217;oferta de petroli<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, que arrossega el conjunt de l&#8217;\u00edndex de commodities.<\/span> <span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">McKinsey matisa que, m\u00e9s enll\u00e0 d&#8217;aquesta moderaci\u00f3 conjuntural, persisteix una<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">volatilitat estructural<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">derivada de la<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">concentraci\u00f3 geogr\u00e0fica de l&#8217;oferta<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, la<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">nacionalitzaci\u00f3 de recursos<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">i l&#8217;<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">aven\u00e7 del proteccionisme<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, factors que limiten la previsibilitat del mercat i reforcen la fragmentaci\u00f3 del comer\u00e7 mundial de primeres mat\u00e8ries.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Per mat\u00e8ries primeres, la situaci\u00f3 \u00e9s la seg\u00fcent:<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p><ul><li aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Aptos\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{\"335552541\":1,\"335559685\":720,\"335559991\":360,\"469769226\":\"Aptos\",\"469769242\":[8226],\"469777803\":\"left\",\"469777804\":\"-\",\"469777815\":\"hybridMultilevel\"}\" data-aria-posinset=\"1\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Energia:<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">els preus del petroli i del gas continuaran reculant per l&#8217;abund\u00e0ncia d&#8217;oferta i l&#8217;alentiment de la demanda.<\/span> <span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/li><\/ul><ul><li aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Aptos\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{\"335552541\":1,\"335559685\":720,\"335559991\":360,\"469769226\":\"Aptos\",\"469769242\":[8226],\"469777803\":\"left\",\"469777804\":\"-\",\"469777815\":\"hybridMultilevel\"}\" data-aria-posinset=\"2\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Productes agr\u00edcoles i aliments:<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  les bones collites i els elevats inventaris globals mantindran la pressi\u00f3 a la baixa. El   <\/span>caf\u00e8 i cacau <span data-contrast=\"auto\">pujaran temporalment per problemes clim\u00e0tics abans d&#8217;estabilitzar-se el 2026.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/li><\/ul><ul><li aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Aptos\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{\"335552541\":1,\"335559685\":720,\"335559991\":360,\"469769226\":\"Aptos\",\"469769242\":[8226],\"469777803\":\"left\",\"469777804\":\"-\",\"469777815\":\"hybridMultilevel\"}\" data-aria-posinset=\"3\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Coure:<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">la demanda vinculada a la<\/span> transici\u00f3 energ\u00e8tica, l&#8217;electrificaci\u00f3 i les xarxes digitals continuar\u00e0 impulsant els preus, que podrien assolir m\u00e0xims nominals hist\u00f2rics el 2026<span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Aix\u00f2 no obstant, l&#8217;oferta limitada i els llargs terminis d&#8217;obertura de noves mines mantindran un risc de d\u00e8ficit estructural.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/li><\/ul><ul><li aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Aptos\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{\"335552541\":1,\"335559685\":720,\"335559991\":360,\"469769226\":\"Aptos\",\"469769242\":[8226],\"469777803\":\"left\",\"469777804\":\"-\",\"469777815\":\"hybridMultilevel\"}\" data-aria-posinset=\"4\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Alumini:<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">mostra una<\/span> evoluci\u00f3 moderadament alcista, sostinguda per projectes d&#8217;infraestructura i les restriccions a l&#8217;oferta russa, mentre els alts costos energ\u00e8tics <span data-contrast=\"auto\">continuen condicionant-ne la competitivitat i generant difer\u00e8ncies regionals de preus.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/li><\/ul><ul><li aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Aptos\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{\"335552541\":1,\"335559685\":720,\"335559991\":360,\"469769226\":\"Aptos\",\"469769242\":[8226],\"469777803\":\"left\",\"469777804\":\"-\",\"469777815\":\"hybridMultilevel\"}\" data-aria-posinset=\"5\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Estany:<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">continuar\u00e0 en<\/span> nivells hist\u00f2ricament alts gr\u00e0cies al seu paper essencial en tecnologies netes i components electr\u00f2nics. Les restriccions d&#8217;exportaci\u00f3 de Myanmar <span data-contrast=\"auto\">i l&#8217;escassa capacitat de refinament a altres pa\u00efsos mantenen elevada la volatilitat.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/li><\/ul><ul><li aria-setsize=\"-1\" data-leveltext=\"-\" data-font=\"Aptos\" data-listid=\"1\" data-list-defn-props=\"{\"335552541\":1,\"335559685\":720,\"335559991\":360,\"469769226\":\"Aptos\",\"469769242\":[8226],\"469777803\":\"left\",\"469777804\":\"-\",\"469777815\":\"hybridMultilevel\"}\" data-aria-posinset=\"6\" data-aria-level=\"1\"><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Mineral de ferro:<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">  continuar\u00e0 sent l&#8217;excepci\u00f3 baixista entre els metalls industrials. La   <\/span>crisi perllongada del sector immobiliari xin\u00e8s <span data-contrast=\"auto\">i la menor demanda sider\u00fargica pressionen a la baixa els preus, sense senyals de recuperaci\u00f3 a curt termini.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/li><\/ul><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Tot plegat, el panorama combina<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">descens de preus a curt termini<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">amb<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">riscos de subministrament persistents<\/span><\/b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">. Les empreses industrials afronten un entorn de  <\/span><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">costos m\u00e9s moderats, per\u00f2 menys previsibles<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">, que requereix<\/span> <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">diversificaci\u00f3 de prove\u00efdors<\/span><\/b> i <b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">planificaci\u00f3 flexible<\/span><\/b> <span data-contrast=\"auto\">en les estrat\u00e8gies de prove\u00efment.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{\"134233117\":false,\"134233118\":false,\"335559738\":240,\"335559739\":240}\"> <\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6e51733f elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"6e51733f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-557bbacf elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"557bbacf\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-79b5ce18\" data-id=\"79b5ce18\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0efcd8e elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"0efcd8e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/comunitat\/colab\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"295\" src=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Banner-Nota-commodities-1-1024x377.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-43473\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Banner-Nota-commodities-1-1024x377.png 1024w, https:\/\/amec.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Banner-Nota-commodities-1-300x110.png 300w, https:\/\/amec.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Banner-Nota-commodities-1-768x283.png 768w, https:\/\/amec.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Banner-Nota-commodities-1-600x221.png 600w, https:\/\/amec.es\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Banner-Nota-commodities-1.png 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-541ceaff elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"541ceaff\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-328b555a\" data-id=\"328b555a\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-81a3143 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"81a3143\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-26a34d7c elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"26a34d7c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h4 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Per aprofundir:<\/h4>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a9c9e2c e-grid e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"a9c9e2c\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7269c0b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7269c0b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/anticipate\/alertas-y-oportunidades\/evolucion-y-perspectivas-de-los-metales-industriales-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Evoluci\u00f3 i perspectives dels metalls industrials 2025<\/strong><\/a><br> El Global Materials Perspective 2025 de McKinsey confirma que, despr\u00e9s de les fortes tensions del 2022-2023, els mercats de materials entren en una fase d&#8217;estabilitat relativa de preus, per\u00f2 amb una volatilitat estructural del subministrament.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-794b046 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"794b046\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/perspectives-dels-mercats-de-materies-primeres-2025-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Perspectives dels mercats de mat\u00e8ries primeres 2025-2026<\/strong><\/a><br> El Banc Mundial preveu una caiguda del 7% en els preus de les mat\u00e8ries primeres tant el 2025 com el 2026. L&#8217;activitat econ\u00f2mica global feble, l&#8217;exc\u00e9s d&#8217;oferta de petroli i les tensions comercials expliquen aquesta tend\u00e8ncia.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8f495b7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"8f495b7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/anticipate\/alertas-y-oportunidades\/la-ia-reconfigura-los-patrones-del-comercio-mundial\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>La IA reconfigura els patrons del comer\u00e7 mundial<\/strong><\/a><br> El comer\u00e7 mundial de mercaderies creixer\u00e0 un 2,4% en volum el 2025, per\u00f2 es desaccelerar\u00e0 al 0,5% el 2026. Aquesta din\u00e0mica reflecteix que el creixement del 2025 \u00e9s fruit de distorsions temporals provocades pels aranzels que es revertiran el 2026.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0df1d81 e-grid e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"0df1d81\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-64b6393 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"64b6393\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/anticipate\/alertas-y-oportunidades\/la-gran-paradoja-de-la-inversion-global-en-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>La gran paradoxa de la inversi\u00f3 global el 2025<\/strong><\/a><br> L&#8217;\u00faltim informe d&#8217;UNCTAD sobre tend\u00e8ncies d&#8217;inversi\u00f3 global revela un panorama complex i contradictori aparentment. Mentre la inversi\u00f3 estrangera directa continua la tercera caiguda anual consecutiva, alguns indicadors mostren xifres r\u00e8cord.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La caiguda general de preus de commodities alleuja els costos industrials , per\u00f2 reflecteix una demanda global m\u00e9s feble. Al mateix temps, la inversi\u00f3 en tecnologies estrat\u00e8giques est\u00e0 reconfigurant els fluxos de comer\u00e7 i les cadenes de valor, marcant un canvi estructural a l&#8217;economia mundial. Evoluci\u00f3 general: creixement estable, per\u00f2 sense impuls Els principals organismes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"parent":5934,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_canvas","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[219],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43465","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","category-alertes-i-tendencies-exclusives"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Perspectives econ\u00f2miques i comercials globals (novembre 2025) | amec Positive Industry<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/perspectives-economiques-i-comercials-globals-novembre-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectives econ\u00f2miques i comercials globals (novembre 2025) | amec Positive Industry\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La caiguda general de preus de commodities alleuja els costos industrials , per\u00f2 reflecteix una demanda global m\u00e9s feble. Al mateix temps, la inversi\u00f3 en tecnologies estrat\u00e8giques est\u00e0 reconfigurant els fluxos de comer\u00e7 i les cadenes de valor, marcant un canvi estructural a l&#8217;economia mundial. 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