{"id":43962,"date":"2025-11-19T11:37:01","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T10:37:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/amec.es\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/balanc-i-perspectives-per-a-lafrica-subsahariana\/"},"modified":"2025-11-20T12:16:49","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T11:16:49","slug":"balanc-i-perspectives-per-a-lafrica-subsahariana","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/balanc-i-perspectives-per-a-lafrica-subsahariana\/","title":{"rendered":"Balan\u00e7 i perspectives per a l&#8217;\u00c0frica subsahariana"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"43962\" class=\"elementor elementor-43962 elementor-43872\" data-elementor-post-type=\"page\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-281b0b7c elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"281b0b7c\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;gradient&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-1faf3c76\" data-id=\"1faf3c76\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2ed3f134 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"2ed3f134\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/category\/alertes-i-tendencies-exclusives\/\" rel=\"tag\">Alertes i tend\u00e8ncies exclusives<\/a><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3e631d43 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"3e631d43\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-461ef3f9 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"461ef3f9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2816a007 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2816a007\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5b4b5645\" data-id=\"5b4b5645\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-589d5584 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"589d5584\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Balan\u00e7 i perspectives per a l&#8217;\u00c0frica subsahariana<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2d29b2d7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"2d29b2d7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3699b62f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3699b62f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t19 de novembre de 2025\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1451375b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1451375b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Les perspectives econ\u00f2miques de l&#8217;\u00c0frica subsahariana apunten una expansi\u00f3 moderada, impulsada per pa\u00efsos no dependents de recursos i per aven\u00e7os en estabilitzaci\u00f3 i reformes tribut\u00e0ries. Tot i aix\u00ed, persisteixen vulnerabilitats rellevants, des de l&#8217;elevada inflaci\u00f3 en diverses economies fins a la fragilitat creixent d&#8217;alguns mercats clau. <\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7b0eceec elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"7b0eceec\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2d40a365 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"2d40a365\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Hem analitzat l&#8217;edici\u00f3 d&#8217;octubre del 2025 del <em>Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan \u00c0frica<\/em> de l&#8217;FMI per oferir una visi\u00f3 sint\u00e8tica dels pa\u00efsos m\u00e9s rellevants de la regi\u00f3. A partir d&#8217;aquesta font, es presenten comparacions i tend\u00e8ncies que permeten identificar tant els aven\u00e7os en estabilitzaci\u00f3 i reformes com les principals vulnerabilitats econ\u00f2miques i fiscals que en condicionen l&#8217;evoluci\u00f3 recent. <\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Taula Comparativa: Estabilitat i Perspectives de Creixement<\/strong><\/h5><p>La taula seg\u00fcent compara els pa\u00efsos que destaquen espec\u00edficament per la resili\u00e8ncia, les altes projeccions de creixement o el paper central en els esfor\u00e7os d&#8217;estabilitzaci\u00f3 i les vulnerabilitats regionals.<\/p><p><iframe id=\"datawrapper-chart-GxyRP\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" title=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/GxyRP\/2\/\" height=\"1228\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Tabla\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">window.addEventListener(\"message\",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";r.style.height=d}}});<\/script><\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Aspectes Destacats sobre Estabilitat i Perspectives<\/strong><\/h5><p><strong>Menor Depend\u00e8ncia de Mat\u00e8ries Primes i Creixement<\/strong><\/p><p>Els pa\u00efsos amb les <strong>millors perspectives de creixement<\/strong> s\u00f3n <strong>Eti\u00f2pia, Rwanda, Ben\u00edn, Costa d&#8217;Ivori i Uganda<\/strong> . Tots aquests s\u00f3n classificats com a pa\u00efsos no intensius en recursos. <\/p><p><strong>Estabilitat Pol\u00edtica i Vulnerabilitat<\/strong><\/p><ul><li>Tot i el creixement, la fragilitat pol\u00edtica persisteix. <strong>Eti\u00f2pia<\/strong> i <strong>Nig\u00e8ria<\/strong> estan classificats en Situacions Fr\u00e0gils i Afectades per Conflictes.<\/li><li>Els pa\u00efsos de baixos ingressos i fr\u00e0gils estan exposats de manera desproporcionada a <strong>retallades a l&#8217;Ajuda Oficial al Desenvolupament<\/strong> , que es projecta que disminuir\u00e0 entre un 16% i un 28% el 2025. <strong>Eti\u00f2pia<\/strong> es troba entre els deu pa\u00efsos principals on les retallades d&#8217;AOD podrien superar el 10% dels ingressos governamentals.<\/li><\/ul><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Estabilitzaci\u00f3 Macroecon\u00f2mica i Suport Financer<\/strong><\/p><ul><li>La perspectiva de creixement se sustenta en el progr\u00e9s continu cap a l&#8217; <strong>estabilitzaci\u00f3 macroecon\u00f2mica<\/strong> i els esfor\u00e7os de reforma en economies clau, incloent <strong>Eti\u00f2pia i Nig\u00e8ria<\/strong> .<\/li><li>Les condicions d&#8217; <strong>endeutament extern<\/strong> continuen sent ajustades, per\u00f2 han millorat des de l&#8217;abril del 2025, i han beneficiat pa\u00efsos amb fonaments macroecon\u00f2mics m\u00e9s s\u00f2lids i m\u00e9s credibilitat en les seves pol\u00edtiques. <strong>Kenya<\/strong> va accedir al mercat d&#8217;Eurobons recaptant $1.5 mil milions l&#8217;octubre del 2025.<\/li><li>Diversos pa\u00efsos estan prioritzant la <strong>mobilitzaci\u00f3 d&#8217;ingressos<\/strong> . <strong>Ghana<\/strong> ha implementat una prova pilot d&#8217;IVA electr\u00f2nic (e-VAT) \/ e-facturaci\u00f3 amb grans contribuents, fet que ha resultat en augments d&#8217;ingressos. <strong>Nig\u00e8ria<\/strong> tamb\u00e9 ha introdu\u00eft reformes a l&#8217;administraci\u00f3 tribut\u00e0ria a trav\u00e9s de la digitalitzaci\u00f3. <strong>Ben\u00edn<\/strong> destaca pels seus aven\u00e7os en la gesti\u00f3 del deute.<\/li><\/ul><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> Riscos Clau: Deute i Inflaci\u00f3<\/strong><\/p><p>Les vulnerabilitats monet\u00e0ries, financeres, externes i fiscals s\u00f3n significatives a gran part de la regi\u00f3, cosa que complica la resposta a futurs xocs.<\/p><ul><li>El <strong>cost del servei del deute<\/strong> ha augmentat constantment, despla\u00e7ant la despesa en desenvolupament prioritari, com s&#8217;observa a <strong>Kenya i Nig\u00e8ria<\/strong> . Per la seva banda, <strong>Sud-\u00e0frica<\/strong> enfronta riscos de refinan\u00e7ament, amb venciments de deute considerables el 2025-2026. <\/li><li>Tot i que la <strong>inflaci\u00f3 mitjana<\/strong> ha disminu\u00eft, es projecta que es mantingui en dos d\u00edgits en aproximadament una cinquena part de la regi\u00f3. <strong>Nig\u00e8ria<\/strong> , <strong>Ghana<\/strong> i <strong>Eti\u00f2pia<\/strong> estan en aquest grup. Aquesta alta inflaci\u00f3, combinada amb altes r\u00e0tios d interessos a ingressos, crea una tensi\u00f3 entre la pol\u00edtica fiscal i monet\u00e0ria. <\/li><\/ul><p><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br> L&#8217;estabilitat i les bones perspectives estan concentrades als pa\u00efsos d&#8217;alt creixement que no depenen dels recursos vol\u00e0tils.<\/strong> Tot i aix\u00f2, economies fonamentals com Nig\u00e8ria, Eti\u00f2pia i Ghana han d&#8217;enfrontar simult\u00e0niament altes taxes d&#8217;inflaci\u00f3 i la urg\u00e8ncia dels seus esfor\u00e7os d&#8217;estabilitzaci\u00f3, mentre que Sud-\u00e0frica es caracteritza per un creixement econ\u00f2mic an\u00e8mic i venciments pesants de deute.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-58212862 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"58212862\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-39058520\" data-id=\"39058520\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-14bdb286 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"14bdb286\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6c46d41e elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"6c46d41e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h5 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Recursos<\/h5>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a5898f3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a5898f3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>International Monetary Fund. <em data-start=\"79\" data-end=\"141\">Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa \u2013 October 2025<\/em> .<\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/publications\/reo\/ssa\/issues\/2025\/10\/16\/regional-economic-outlook-for-sub-saharan-africa-october-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/publications\/reo\/ssa\/issues\/2025\/10\/16\/regional-economic-outlook-for-sub-saharan-africa-october-2025<\/a><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7d00da89 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"7d00da89\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les perspectives econ\u00f2miques de l&#8217;\u00c0frica subsahariana apunten una expansi\u00f3 moderada, impulsada per pa\u00efsos no dependents de recursos i per aven\u00e7os en estabilitzaci\u00f3 i reformes tribut\u00e0ries. Tot i aix\u00ed, persisteixen vulnerabilitats rellevants, des de l&#8217;elevada inflaci\u00f3 en diverses economies fins a la fragilitat creixent d&#8217;alguns mercats clau. Hem analitzat l&#8217;edici\u00f3 d&#8217;octubre del 2025 del Regional Economic [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"parent":5934,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_canvas","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[219],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43962","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","category-alertes-i-tendencies-exclusives"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Balan\u00e7 i perspectives per a l&#039;\u00c0frica subsahariana | amec Positive Industry<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/ca\/anticipat\/alertes-i-oportunitats\/balanc-i-perspectives-per-a-lafrica-subsahariana\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Balan\u00e7 i perspectives per a l&#039;\u00c0frica subsahariana | amec Positive Industry\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les perspectives econ\u00f2miques de l&#8217;\u00c0frica subsahariana apunten una expansi\u00f3 moderada, impulsada per pa\u00efsos no dependents de recursos i per aven\u00e7os en estabilitzaci\u00f3 i reformes tribut\u00e0ries. Tot i aix\u00ed, persisteixen vulnerabilitats rellevants, des de l&#8217;elevada inflaci\u00f3 en diverses economies fins a la fragilitat creixent d&#8217;alguns mercats clau. 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