UNCTAD describes an environment where countries are less able to respond to economic shocks, which increases potential volatility. For export-dependent companies, this means we need to be prepared for rapid adjustments.
The environment described in the latest UNCTAD report is not catastrophic, but it is not easy either. It is one that will reward strategy, adaptability, and the ability to offer differentiated value.
Global trade is undergoing a profound reorganization. Companies are diversifying supply chains, relocating production, and South-South trade is growing significantly. This is crucial for your partners.
New regional trade networks are emerging, with a significant expansion of trade between developing countries. There are new trade routes to explore beyond traditional markets.
China has a mixed profile. Its growth is slowing, but it continues to export massively, diversifying into other Asian markets and Europe, not just the USA.
This has two implications:
European growth is modest (1.3% in 2026) and the report is quite clear about the structural problems limiting productivity growth and production potential.
For Spanish companies, this is a double-edged sword:
The important thing to understand here is that these markets require a long-term strategy and patience.
The advantage is that they are diversifying their trading partners, which opens up opportunities for European exporters that have not traditionally been dominant in these markets.
For industrial equipment, food processing machinery, or urban infrastructure equipment, development projects are underway. But financing will be a key challenge, given reduced official development assistance and limited fiscal space.
Based on this analysis, several strategic priorities stand out:
Active geographic diversification
It is not just a matter of “being present” in multiple markets, but of having differentiated strategies by region:
_
2. Sustainability as a competitive differentiator, not as compliance.
_
3. Digitization and embedded intelligence
Equipment that incorporates digital capabilities (sensors, connectivity, data analytics, predictive maintenance) will have a growing competitive advantage. Customers want equipment that helps them optimize their own operations, not just perform a mechanical function well.
_
4. Financing as a service
Given that access to credit is uneven and many target markets face fiscal constraints, companies that can offer financing solutions (leasing, pay-as-you-go, partnerships with financial institutions) will be able to close more sales. This is especially relevant for developing markets.
_
5. Flexibility and resilience in supply chains
The reconfiguration of global trade means that supply chains will continue to adjust. Companies need to have diversified suppliers, the ability to react quickly, and ideally some degree of modular production that allows for adjustments based on component availability.
_
6. Capacity building in emerging markets
In markets where skilled labor is limited, offering training, robust technical support, and maintenance services can be as important as the equipment itself. This also helps build long-term relationships and exit barriers for customers.
_
7. Collaboration and consortia
Given the complexity of the environment, it makes sense for companies to explore collaborations to enter new markets, share costs of developing new capabilities (especially digital), or present more comprehensive joint offerings to large customers.