{"id":46527,"date":"2026-01-15T13:26:35","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T12:26:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/amec.es\/germany-exits-recession-with-limited-progress\/"},"modified":"2026-01-16T10:21:03","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T09:21:03","slug":"germany-exits-recession-with-limited-progress","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/amec.es\/en\/germany-exits-recession-with-limited-progress\/","title":{"rendered":"Germany exits recession with limited progress"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"46527\" class=\"elementor elementor-46527 elementor-46506\" data-elementor-post-type=\"page\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5077b959 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5077b959\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;gradient&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3eb8b62\" data-id=\"3eb8b62\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-656031b9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"656031b9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/en\/category\/exclusive-alerts-and-trends\/\" rel=\"tag\">Exclusive alerts and trends<\/a><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a2538e0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"a2538e0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3d1c2c elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"3d1c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2587540a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2587540a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7f2112a9\" data-id=\"7f2112a9\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-12ba0dd8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"12ba0dd8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Germany exits recession with limited progress<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6a748c98 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"6a748c98\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3c626e7a elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3c626e7a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t15 de January de 2026\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7f147588 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7f147588\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>In 2025, the German economy recorded the first annual increase in GDP since 2022, after two consecutive years of contraction. The data confirms the technical exit from the recessionary cycle, although the pace of recovery is still very limited and leaves open significant doubts about the strength of the upturn. <\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2a7d1469 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"2a7d1469\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7d85e0af elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7d85e0af\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h5><strong>First annual growth after two years of contraction<\/strong><\/h5><p>German GDP increased by <strong>0.2% in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and for the year as a whole<\/strong>, ending a prolonged period of economic weakness. In 2023 the economy had contracted by -0.3% and in 2024 by -0.2%, shaping the longest episode of deterioration in decades for the country. This turnaround marks, at least from a statistical point of view, the end of the recessionary cycle that began after the energy crisis and the industrial slowdown after 2022.  <\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br>Why it is relevant for Germany and for the EU<\/strong><\/h5><p>Germany is the eurozone&#8217;s main economy and a central hub of its industrial and export fabric. The fact that it is growing again, albeit very moderately, has a <strong>symbolic and confidence-building effect for the region as a whole<\/strong>, after several quarters in which the country had acted as a brake on European growth. The data suggests that the economic downturn has stabilized, but does not yet point to a solid recovery of Europe&#8217;s industrial engine.  <\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br>Nuances: extremely weak growth<\/strong><\/h5><p>The 0.2% annual growth is <strong>very limited and looks more like a scenario of stagnation than a real recovery<\/strong>. While other European economies are maintaining more dynamic rates of expansion, Germany is barely managing to grow. Signs of structural weakness persist:  <\/p><ul><li><strong>Private consumption fell 0.3% in the third quarter<\/strong>.<\/li><li><strong>Exports fell by 0.7% in the same period<\/strong>, affected by the trade environment and U.S. tariffs.<\/li><li>The <strong>manufacturing and construction sectors continue to decline<\/strong>.<\/li><li><strong>Total investment fell by 0.5% in 2025<\/strong>, and investment in machinery and equipment declined by about 2.3%, reflecting business caution.<\/li><\/ul><p><br>Growth has been supported mainly by <strong>domestic demand<\/strong>, with an increase of approximately <strong>1.4% in household spending<\/strong> and <strong>1.5% in public spending<\/strong>, especially in defense and infrastructure. It has not been a recovery driven by private investment or the foreign sector. <\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br>Risks on the horizon and structural weaknesses<\/strong><\/h5><p>The sustainability of growth is conditioned by several risk factors:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Exposure to potential U.S. tariffs<\/strong>: Germany&#8217;s high trade surplus with the United States makes it a potential target for further trade measures.<\/li><li><strong>Persistent industrial weakness<\/strong>: large industrial groups such as Siemens, Bosch, Thyssenkrupp and Deutsche Bahn together cut more than 60,000 jobs in the first ten months of 2024, reflecting deep strains in the productive fabric.<\/li><li><strong>Structural problems<\/strong>: high bureaucracy, high labor costs and slow adaptation to decarbonization and digitalization processes continue to limit competitiveness in the medium term.<\/li><\/ul><p><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br>This is compounded by a more fragmented international context, with trade tensions continuing to weigh on industrial exports.<\/p><h5><strong><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">_<\/span><br>Outlook for 2026<\/strong><\/h5><p>The projections remain cautious and assume that German growth will continue to be below historical levels and conditioned by external risks and unresolved structural weaknesses.<\/p><p>Official forecasts point to growth of <strong>1.3%<\/strong> <strong>in 2026<\/strong>, highly <strong>vulnerable to the slowdown in global trade<\/strong>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-568aaa5 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"568aaa5\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" 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sizes=\"(max-width: 778px) 100vw, 778px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-28f51a11 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"28f51a11\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-33101c6f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"33101c6f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.accio.gencat.cat\/ca\/accio\/processos-acreditacio\/agents-suport-internacionalitzacio\/\"><span data-olk-copy-source=\"MessageBody\">ACCI\u00d3 accredited agent<\/span><\/a><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7bf76089 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"7bf76089\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2025, the German economy recorded the first annual increase in GDP since 2022, after two consecutive years of contraction. The data confirms the technical exit from the recessionary cycle, although the pace of recovery is still very limited and leaves open significant doubts about the strength of the upturn. First annual growth after two [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_canvas","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[355],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46527","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","category-exclusive-alerts-and-trends"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Germany exits recession with limited progress | amec Positive Industry<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/amec.es\/en\/germany-exits-recession-with-limited-progress\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Germany exits recession with limited progress | amec Positive Industry\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In 2025, the German economy recorded the first annual increase in GDP since 2022, after two consecutive years of contraction. 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